Aberystwyth Town vs Caersws: result 2-1 and analysis
Welsh CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on March 1, 2014 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Park Avenue, Aberystwyth, Ceredigion
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What was the result of Aberystwyth Town vs Caersws?
Aberystwyth Town won 2-1 on March 1, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 11′129413Caersws
- 13′C. VenablesAberystwyth Town (pen.)
- 49′G. KellawayAberystwyth Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aberystwyth Town have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Caersws have 5, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2014 | Afan Lido(away) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Feb 1, 2014 | Afan Lido(home) | 5-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Jan 25, 2014 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 18, 2014 | Bangor City(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Jan 4, 2014 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2014 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 4-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Dec 7, 2013 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 2-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 9, 2013 | Nefyn United(away) | 3-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Denbigh Town(home) | 2-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Llanidloes Town(away) | 2-3 | Welsh Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Aberystwyth Town score 2.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Caersws score 2.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberystwyth Town | 2.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Caersws | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 5/6 | 5/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy