Abha vs Al Diriyah: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on April 2, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium, Abha
The Footlab AI model makes Al Diriyah the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Abha. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Diriyah wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Abha vs Al Diriyah?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Abha (1,763) and Al Diriyah (1,827).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Abha vs Al Diriyah
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Abha
4-5-1- 44M. Batshuayi
- 7Firas Al-Ghamdi
- 10N. Fekir
- 19Abdullah Al Fahad
- 17Abdulkarim Darisi
- 11A. Gory
- 3J. Gaari
- 37Abdulbasit Al-Hindi
- 39M. Al-Zaid
- 80Safwan Saud
- 16D. Léon
Al Diriyah
5-3-2- 29D. Núñez
- 14Óscar Rodríguez
- 5I. Gueye
- 20E. Millot
- 10A. Boulbina
- 99C. Mbemba
- 2Abdulaziz Al Faraj
- 19B. Djimsiti
- 16Hussain Al Sibyani
- 87Qassem Lajami
- 22N. Vasilj
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Abha have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Al Diriyah have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Al-Fayha(away) | 2-3 | Pro League |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 0-3 | Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Abha(home) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al-Fateh(away) | 2-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(home) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(away) | 3-0 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Abha win, 1 draw, 1 Al Diriyah win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Diriyah 0-0 Abha | Pro League |
| May 1, 2026 | Al Diriyah 2-0 Abha | Division 1 |
| Jan 5, 2026 | Abha 2-1 Al Diriyah | Division 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Abha score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al Diriyah score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abha | 0.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Al Diriyah | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Abha sit 18th in Pro League (2 points from 7 matches) and Al Diriyah sit 9th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 2 |
A question about Abha vs Al Diriyah?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Abha vs Al Diriyah?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Diriyah the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Abha.
- Where and when is Abha vs Al Diriyah played?
- Abha vs Al Diriyah is played on April 2, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.