Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on April 8, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Al Diriyah. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,757 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr?
Al-Nassr starts as the favourite with a 288-point Elo edge (2,042 vs 1,753).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Diriyah
4-3-3- 10A. Boulbina
- 29D. Núñez
- 25L. Chelfi
- 20E. Millot
- 14Óscar Rodríguez
- 5I. Gueye
- 99C. Mbemba
- 19B. Djimsiti
- 16Hussain Al Sibyani
- 12T. Wadi
- 97Amin Al Bukhari
Al-Nassr
4-2-3-1- 7Cristiano Ronaldo
- 10S. Mané
- 11Samú Costa
- 79João Félix
- 17Abdullah Al Khaibari
- 20Ângelo
- 12Nawaf Boushal
- 26Íñigo Martínez
- 5Abdulelah Al Amri
- 70Awad Aman
- 24Bento
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 08:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Diriyah have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Al-Nassr have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(away) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Al Riyadh(home) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Al Taawon(home) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 0-3 | Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Abha(home) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(away) | 3-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Neftchi(home) | 3-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al Diriyah(home) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Al Ain(away) | 0-4 | AFC Champions League Elite |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Al Diriyah wins, 0 draws, 2 Al-Nassr wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al-Nassr 3-0 Al Diriyah | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al Diriyah 1-4 Al-Nassr | King's Cup |
Last archived meeting: Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah on Oct 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Diriyah score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Nassr score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Diriyah | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Al-Nassr | 2.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Diriyah sit 8th in Pro League (15 points from 11 matches) and Al-Nassr sit 2nd (25 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al-Nassr | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 25 |
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 15 |
A question about Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Al Diriyah.
- Where and when is Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr played?
- Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr is played on April 8, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.