Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on April 8, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Al Diriyah. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr?
Al-Nassr is a heavy favourite: 2,133 Elo points against 1,819 — a 314-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Diriyah have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Al-Nassr have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Hazm(away) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al-Nassr(home) | 1-4 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FA 2000(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Trelleborg(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Riyadh(away) | 4-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 4-1 | King's Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al-Fateh(home) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Estrela(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Al Diriyah win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Al-Nassr win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al Diriyah 1-4 Al-Nassr | King's Cup |
Last archived meeting: Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr on Aug 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Diriyah score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Nassr score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Diriyah | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Al-Nassr | 2.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Diriyah sit 9th in Pro League (3 points from 2 matches) and Al-Nassr sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al-Nassr | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Al Diriyah.
- Where and when is Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr played?
- Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr is played on April 8, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.