Al-Fateh vs NEOM: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on April 2, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium, Al-Hasa
The Footlab AI model makes NEOM the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Al-Fateh. The most likely score is 1-1. If NEOM wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,752 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Fateh vs NEOM?
NEOM starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,880 vs 1,738).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Fateh vs NEOM
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Fateh
3-4-3- 10L. Haraslín
- 9W. Kanga
- 11M. Batna
- 28Z. Youssouf
- 6Ali Al Hassan
- 16Abdulelah Al Khaibari
- 87Sattam Al Tumbukti
- 3K. Boateng
- 78Abdulaziz Al Suwailem
- 17M. Saâdane
- 1A. Šemper
NEOM
4-4-2- 91A. Lacazette
- 70Haroune Camara
- 15Abdulmalik Al Oyayari
- 7G. Masouras
- 23V. Vada
- 72A. Koné
- 5M. Sarr
- 44N. Zézé
- 27Islam Hawsawi
- 4Khalifah Al Dawsari
- 1M. Bułka
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Fateh have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; NEOM have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Al-Hazm(away) | 3-2 | Pro League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(home) | 0-4 | Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | NEOM(away) | 2-4 | Pro League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al Diriyah(home) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Al Taawon(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut(home) | 4-0 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al-Hazm(away) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al-Fateh(home) | 4-2 | Pro League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(away) | 2-0 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Al-Fateh win, 1 draw, 1 NEOM win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | NEOM 4-2 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| May 2, 2026 | Al-Fateh 2-2 NEOM | Pro League |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NEOM 0-1 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Fateh score 0.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; NEOM score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Fateh | 0.7 | 1.8 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| NEOM | 1.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Fateh sit 16th in Pro League (6 points from 9 matches) and NEOM sit 5th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | NEOM | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 16 |
| 16 | Al-Fateh | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 6 |
A question about Al-Fateh vs NEOM?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Fateh vs NEOM?
- The Footlab AI model makes NEOM the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Al-Fateh.
- Where and when is Al-Fateh vs NEOM played?
- Al-Fateh vs NEOM is played on April 2, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.