Abha vs Al-Fateh: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 10, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium, Abha
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Fateh the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Abha. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al-Fateh wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,601 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Abha vs Al-Fateh?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Abha (1,759) and Al-Fateh (1,735).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Abha vs Al-Fateh
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Abha
4-4-1-1- 44M. Batshuayi
- 7Firas Al-Ghamdi
- 17Abdulkarim Darisi
- 11A. Gory
- 8Nasser Al-Daajani
- 14G. Nkoudou
- 3J. Gaari
- 19Abdullah Al Fahad
- 23Mohammed Al Dossary
- 12K. Al Shamrani
- 16D. Léon
Al-Fateh
5-4-1- 9W. Kanga
- 10L. Haraslín
- 11M. Batna
- 6Ali Al Hassan
- 28Z. Youssouf
- 17M. Saâdane
- 16Abdulelah Al Khaibari
- 8M. Lixandru
- 3K. Boateng
- 78Abdulaziz Al Suwailem
- 1A. Šemper
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 07:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Abha have 0 wins, 5 draws and 10 defeats; Al-Fateh have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(home) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | NEOM(away) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(away) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(away) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Al Shabab(home) | 1-3 | Pro League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 2-3 | Pro League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Al-Hazm(away) | 3-2 | Pro League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(home) | 0-4 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Abha wins, 1 draw, 3 Al-Fateh wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | Abha 2-1 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Al-Fateh 4-1 Abha | Pro League |
| Mar 10, 2023 | Abha 2-2 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Al-Fateh 3-0 Abha | Pro League |
| Mar 10, 2022 | Al-Fateh 3-0 Abha | Pro League |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Abha 3-1 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Abha score 0.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Fateh score 0.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abha | 0.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Al-Fateh | 0.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Abha sit 18th in Pro League (3 points from 11 matches) and Al-Fateh sit 16th (6 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Al-Fateh | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 6 |
| 18 | Abha | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 3 |
A question about Abha vs Al-Fateh?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Abha vs Al-Fateh?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Fateh the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Abha.
- Where and when is Abha vs Al-Fateh played?
- Abha vs Al-Fateh is played on December 10, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.