NEOM vs Al-Ahli Jeddah: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 10, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)King Khalid Sport City Stadium, Tabouk
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for NEOM. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al-Ahli Jeddah wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,541 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NEOM vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Ahli Jeddah starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (2,065 vs 1,894).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for NEOM vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
NEOM
4-4-2- 91A. Lacazette
- 70Haroune Camara
- 72A. Koné
- 77Muhannad Al Saad
- 7G. Masouras
- 14Khalil Al Absi
- 5M. Sarr
- 44N. Zézé
- 15Abdulmalik Al Oyayari
- 27Islam Hawsawi
- 1M. Bułka
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4-2-3-1- 17I. Toney
- 7Trincão
- 6V. Atangana Edoa
- 30Ziyad Al Johani
- 13Galeno
- 8E. Spertsyan
- 28M. Demiral
- 15Saeed Baattia
- 31Saad Yaslam
- 3Ibañez
- 1Abdulrahman Al Sanbi
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 06:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NEOM have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Al-Ahli Jeddah have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut(home) | 4-0 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al-Hazm(away) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al-Fateh(home) | 4-2 | Pro League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(away) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Al-Wasl FC(away) | 3-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al-Fateh(away) | 4-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 1-2 | FIFA Intercontinental Cup |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Pakhtakor(home) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Al-Hazm(home) | 3-1 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 NEOM wins, 0 draws, 2 Al-Ahli Jeddah wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | NEOM 0-3 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
| Aug 28, 2025 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 1-0 NEOM | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: NEOM vs Al-Ahli Jeddah on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NEOM score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Ahli Jeddah score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEOM | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NEOM sit 5th in Pro League (16 points from 8 matches) and Al-Ahli Jeddah sit 6th (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 15 |
A question about NEOM vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NEOM vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for NEOM.
- Where and when is NEOM vs Al-Ahli Jeddah played?
- NEOM vs Al-Ahli Jeddah is played on December 10, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at King Khalid Sport City Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.