NEOM vs Al-Ahli Jeddah: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 10, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)King Khalid Sport City Stadium, Tabouk
The Footlab model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for NEOM. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NEOM vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Ahli Jeddah starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (2,105 vs 1,888).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NEOM have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Al-Ahli Jeddah have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(home) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(away) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(away) | 3-1 | King's Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 2-1 | Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Abha(home) | 4-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al Anwar(away) | 2-1 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 NEOM win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Al-Ahli Jeddah win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | NEOM 0-3 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
| Aug 28, 2025 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 1-0 NEOM | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: NEOM vs Al-Ahli Jeddah on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NEOM score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Ahli Jeddah score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEOM | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NEOM sit 5th in Pro League (6 points from 2 matches) and Al-Ahli Jeddah sit 3rd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | NEOM | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NEOM vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for NEOM.
- Where and when is NEOM vs Al-Ahli Jeddah played?
- NEOM vs Al-Ahli Jeddah is played on December 10, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at King Khalid Sport City Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.