Al Diriyah vs Al Shabab: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 10, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Al Diriyah the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Al Shabab. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Diriyah wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,800 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Diriyah vs Al Shabab?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Al Diriyah (1,804) and Al Shabab (1,768).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Diriyah vs Al Shabab
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Diriyah
4-3-3- 29D. Núñez
- 10A. Boulbina
- 17C. Diandy
- 5I. Gueye
- 20E. Millot
- 14Óscar Rodríguez
- 99C. Mbemba
- 2Abdulaziz Al Faraj
- 19B. Djimsiti
- 16Hussain Al Sibyani
- 97Amin Al Bukhari
Al Shabab
4-4-2- 9Roger Martínez
- 49Ricardo Mathias
- 29Y. Adli
- 10Y. Carrasco
- 8J. Brownhill
- 37A. Matuq
- 4T. Jedvaj
- 17Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani
- 3M. Barry
- 55Ali Al Bulayhi
- 1M. Diaw
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 04:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Diriyah have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Al Shabab have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Al Taawon(home) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 0-3 | Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Abha(home) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al-Fateh(away) | 2-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(home) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Al Taawon(home) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al Kholood(away) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(home) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Al-Hazm(away) | 1-1 | Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Diriyah score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al Shabab score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Diriyah | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Al Shabab | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Diriyah sit 8th in Pro League (12 points from 9 matches) and Al Shabab sit 13th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Al Diriyah vs Al Shabab?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Diriyah vs Al Shabab?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Diriyah the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Al Shabab.
- Where and when is Al Diriyah vs Al Shabab played?
- Al Diriyah vs Al Shabab is played on December 10, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.