Abha vs Al-Qadisiyah FC: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 15, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium, Abha
The Footlab model makes Al-Qadisiyah FC the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Abha. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Abha vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Al-Qadisiyah FC starts as the favourite with a 285-point Elo edge (2,066 vs 1,780).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Abha have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Al-Qadisiyah FC have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 0-4 | Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Al Orubah(away) | 0-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al-Hazm(home) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | NEOM(away) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al Taee(away) | 5-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 3-1 | Pro League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Levante(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Abha win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Al-Qadisiyah FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2021 | Al-Qadisiyah FC 1-1 Abha | Pro League |
| Jan 24, 2021 | Abha 2-2 Al-Qadisiyah FC | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha on May 30, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Abha score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Qadisiyah FC score 2.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abha | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Abha sit 15th in Pro League (1 points from 3 matches) and Al-Qadisiyah FC sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 15 | Abha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Abha vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Qadisiyah FC the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Abha.
- Where and when is Abha vs Al-Qadisiyah FC played?
- Abha vs Al-Qadisiyah FC is played on April 15, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.