Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, Khobar
The Footlab model makes Al-Qadisiyah FC the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Abha. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha?
Al-Qadisiyah FC starts as the favourite with a 273-point Elo edge (2,059 vs 1,786).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Qadisiyah FC have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Abha have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al Taee(away) | 5-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 3-1 | Pro League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Levante(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(away) | 5-1 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 0-4 | Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Al Orubah(away) | 0-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al-Hazm(home) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Sharjah FC(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Al-Qadisiyah FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Abha win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2021 | Al-Qadisiyah FC 1-1 Abha | Pro League |
| Jan 24, 2021 | Abha 2-2 Al-Qadisiyah FC | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha on May 30, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Qadisiyah FC score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Abha score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Abha | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Qadisiyah FC sit 8th in Pro League (3 points from 2 matches) and Abha sit 17th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 17 | Abha | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Qadisiyah FC the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Abha.
- Where and when is Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha played?
- Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha is played on October 9, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.