AC Douane vs Hafia: prediction and stats
CAF Confederation Cup1st Preliminary RoundKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Cheikha Ould Boïdiya, Nouakchott
The Footlab model makes AC Douane the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 20% for Hafia. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AC Douane vs Hafia?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate AC Douane (1,699) and Hafia (1,719).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AC Douane have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Hafia have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | N'Zidane(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 19, 2026 | Gendrim(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | Kaédi(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 4, 2026 | Nouadhibou(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | SNIM(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | ASFAG(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | RCC Kamsar(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Horoya(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Renaissance(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 3, 2026 | ASM Sangarédi(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
AC Douane score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hafia score 1.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Douane | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Hafia | 1.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AC Douane vs Hafia?
- The Footlab model makes AC Douane the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 20% for Hafia.
- Where and when is AC Douane vs Hafia played?
- AC Douane vs Hafia is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Cheikha Ould Boïdiya, in the CAF Confederation Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.