AC Milan vs Benfica: result 0-1 and analysis
International Champions CupGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on July 28, 2019 at 07:06 PM (UTC)Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
Full time
What was the result of AC Milan vs Benfica?
Benfica won 0-1 on July 28, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 70′A. TaarabtBenfica
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AC Milan have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Benfica have 13, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2019 | Bayern München(away) | 0-1 | International Champions Cup |
| May 26, 2019 | Spal(away) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| May 19, 2019 | Frosinone(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| May 11, 2019 | Fiorentina(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| May 6, 2019 | Bologna(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2019 | Fiorentina(away) | 2-1 | International Champions Cup |
| Jul 20, 2019 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 3-0 | International Champions Cup |
| May 18, 2019 | Santa Clara(home) | 4-1 | Primeira Liga |
| May 12, 2019 | Rio Ave(away) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| May 4, 2019 | Portimonense(home) | 5-1 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
AC Milan score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Benfica score 3.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Benfica | 3.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy