AC Milan vs Fiorentina: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 19, 2025 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
Full time
What was the result of AC Milan vs Fiorentina?
AC Milan won 2-1 on October 19, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 55′R. GosensFiorentina
- 63′Rafael LeãoAC Milan
- 86′Rafael LeãoAC Milan (pen.)
Official lineup for AC Milan vs Fiorentina
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
AC Milan
3-5-2- 10Rafael Leão
- 56A. Saelemaekers
- 33D. Bartesaghi
- 4S. Ricci
- 14L. Modrić
- 19Y. Fofana
- 24Z. Athekame
- 31S. Pavlović
- 46M. Gabbia
- 23F. Tomori
- 16M. Maignan
Fiorentina
3-5-1-1- 20M. Kean
- 22J. Fazzini
- 21R. Gosens
- 44N. Fagioli
- 14H. Nicolussi
- 8R. Mandragora
- 2Dodô
- 6L. Ranieri
- 18Pablo Marí
- 5M. Pongračić
- 43David de Gea
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AC Milan have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Fiorentina have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2025 | Juventus(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Napoli(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Lecce(home) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Udinese(away) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Bologna(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2025 | AS Roma(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Sigma Olomouc(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Pisa(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Como(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Napoli(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AC Milan wins, 1 draw, 2 Fiorentina wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | AC Milan 2-2 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Fiorentina 2-1 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Fiorentina 1-2 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Nov 25, 2023 | AC Milan 1-0 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Fiorentina 2-1 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Nov 13, 2022 | AC Milan 2-1 Fiorentina | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: AC Milan vs Fiorentina on Apr 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
AC Milan score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Fiorentina score 1.4 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Fiorentina | 1.4 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AC Milan sit 6th in Serie A (12 points from 6 matches) and Fiorentina sit 18th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 12 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
A question about AC Milan vs Fiorentina?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy