AC Milan vs Fiorentina: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 19, 2025 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
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What was the result of AC Milan vs Fiorentina?
AC Milan won 2-1 on October 19, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 55′R. GosensFiorentina
- 63′Rafael LeãoAC Milan
- 86′Rafael LeãoAC Milan (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AC Milan have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Fiorentina have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2025 | Juventus(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Napoli(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Lecce(home) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Udinese(away) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Bologna(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2025 | AS Roma(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Sigma Olomouc(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Pisa(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Como(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Napoli(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AC Milan win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Fiorentina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | AC Milan 2-2 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Fiorentina 2-1 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Fiorentina 1-2 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Nov 25, 2023 | AC Milan 1-0 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Fiorentina 2-1 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Nov 13, 2022 | AC Milan 2-1 Fiorentina | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: AC Milan vs Fiorentina on Apr 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
AC Milan score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Fiorentina score 1.4 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Fiorentina | 1.4 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AC Milan sit 5th in Serie A (70 points from 38 matches) and Fiorentina sit 15th (42 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53 | 35 | 70 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41 | 50 | 42 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy