AC Milan vs Fiorentina: result 1-3 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 29, 2019 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
Full time
What was the result of AC Milan vs Fiorentina?
Fiorentina won 1-3 on September 29, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 14′E. PulgarFiorentina (pen.)
- 66′G. CastrovilliFiorentina
- 78′F. RibéryFiorentina
- 80′Rafael LeãoAC Milan
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AC Milan have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Fiorentina have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2019 | Torino(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2019 | Inter(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2019 | Hellas Verona(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Brescia(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 25, 2019 | Udinese(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2019 | Sampdoria(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Atalanta(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Juventus(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 1, 2019 | Genoa(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 24, 2019 | Napoli(home) | 3-4 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AC Milan win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Fiorentina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2019 | Fiorentina 0-1 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Dec 22, 2018 | AC Milan 0-1 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| May 20, 2018 | AC Milan 5-1 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Dec 30, 2017 | Fiorentina 1-1 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Feb 19, 2017 | AC Milan 2-1 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Fiorentina 0-0 AC Milan | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Fiorentina vs AC Milan on May 11, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
AC Milan score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fiorentina score 1.0 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Fiorentina | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AC Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy