AC Milan vs Frosinone: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
The Footlab AI model makes AC Milan the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Frosinone. The most likely score is 1-1. If AC Milan wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AC Milan vs Frosinone?
On Elo ratings, AC Milan has 2,201 points and Frosinone 2,109.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AC Milan vs Frosinone
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AC Milan
3-4-2-1- 9Gonçalo Ramos
- 80Y. Musah
- 11C. Pulišić
- 14L. Modrić
- 13S. Bocoum
- 12A. Rabiot
- 22D. Moreira
- 31S. Pavlović
- 5K. De Winter
- 34Mario Gila
- 16M. Maignan
Frosinone
4-2-3-1- 9A. Raimondo
- 14G. Calò
- 7F. Ghedjemis
- 10R. Schmid
- 17G. Kvernadze
- 73P. Masini
- 3G. Calvani
- 79G. Bracaglia
- 30I. Monterisi
- 20A. Oyono
- 22L. Palmisani
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 06:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AC Milan have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Frosinone have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Inter(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Bologna(home) | 2-4 | Serie A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atalanta(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Torino(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Lecce(home) | 5-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 4-4 | Serie A |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 4-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 AC Milan wins, 2 draws, 0 Frosinone wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2024 | Frosinone 2-3 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Dec 2, 2023 | AC Milan 3-1 Frosinone | Serie A |
| May 19, 2019 | AC Milan 2-0 Frosinone | Serie A |
| Dec 26, 2018 | Frosinone 0-0 AC Milan | Serie A |
| May 1, 2016 | AC Milan 3-3 Frosinone | Serie A |
| Dec 20, 2015 | Frosinone 2-4 AC Milan | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
AC Milan score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Frosinone score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Frosinone | 2.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AC Milan sit 5th in Serie A (21 points from 10 matches) and Frosinone sit 6th (20 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 21 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 20 |
A question about AC Milan vs Frosinone?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AC Milan vs Frosinone?
- The Footlab AI model makes AC Milan the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Frosinone.
- Where and when is AC Milan vs Frosinone played?
- AC Milan vs Frosinone is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.