Match

Olympiakos Piraeus vs AC Milan: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 5Kick-off on November 26, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki, Piraeus

Olympiakos PiraeusAC Milan

The Footlab AI model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for AC Milan. The most likely score is 1-1. If Olympiakos Piraeus wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,905 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Olympiakos Piraeus vs AC Milan?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Olympiakos Piraeus (2,194) and AC Milan (2,181).

41%27%32%
Olympiakos Piraeus winDrawAC Milan win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Olympiakos Piraeus vs AC Milan

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Olympiakos Piraeus

4-2-3-1
  1. 11R. Yaremchuk
  1. 15G. Puerta
  2. 22Chiquinho
  3. 20Jota Silva
  4. 19R. Freuler
  5. 32S. Hezze
  1. 45P. Retsos
  2. 5L. Pirola
  3. 2M. Saliakas
  4. 70S. Onyemaechi
  1. 1S. Ortega

AC Milan

3-4-2-1
  1. 9Gonçalo Ramos
  1. 12A. Rabiot
  2. 70A. Cissè
  3. 21S. Chukwueze
  4. 30A. Jashari
  5. 33D. Bartesaghi
  6. 20O. Hutchinson
  1. 31S. Pavlović
  2. 5K. De Winter
  3. 34Mario Gila
  1. 16M. Maignan

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 05:39 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olympiakos Piraeus have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; AC Milan have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Olympiakos Piraeus
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Panetolikos(away)2-0Super League 1
Oct 15, 2026Marseille(away)1-0UEFA Europa League
Oct 11, 2026Panathinaikos(home)1-0Super League 1
Sep 20, 2026Levadiakos(away)1-0Super League 1
Sep 16, 2026Jagiellonia(home)2-1UEFA Europa League
AC Milan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Atalanta(home)3-2Serie A
Oct 15, 2026Red Bull Salzburg(away)4-0UEFA Europa League
Oct 11, 2026Sassuolo(away)1-1Serie A
Sep 20, 2026Lecce(home)3-0Serie A
Sep 16, 2026Benfica(home)0-2UEFA Europa League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Olympiakos Piraeus win, 0 draws, 1 AC Milan win.

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 13, 2018Olympiakos Piraeus 3-1 AC MilanUEFA Europa League
Oct 4, 2018AC Milan 3-1 Olympiakos PiraeusUEFA Europa League

Last archived meeting: Olympiakos Piraeus vs AC Milan on Dec 13, 2018

How many goals should we expect?

Olympiakos Piraeus score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; AC Milan score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Olympiakos Piraeus1.30.985/156/15
AC Milan1.91.3310/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Olympiakos Piraeus sit 10th in UEFA Europa League (6 points from 2 matches) and AC Milan sit 16th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Olympiakos Piraeus2200316
16AC Milan2101423

A question about Olympiakos Piraeus vs AC Milan?

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Olympiakos Piraeus vs AC Milan?
The Footlab AI model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for AC Milan.
Where and when is Olympiakos Piraeus vs AC Milan played?
Olympiakos Piraeus vs AC Milan is played on November 26, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki, in the UEFA Europa League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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