AC Milan vs Girona: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 7Kick-off on January 22, 2025 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
Full time
What was the result of AC Milan vs Girona?
AC Milan won 1-0 on January 22, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 37′Rafael LeãoAC Milan
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AC Milan have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Girona have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | Juventus(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Como(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Cagliari(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jan 6, 2025 | Inter(away) | 3-2 | Super Cup |
| Jan 3, 2025 | Juventus(away) | 2-1 | Super Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | Sevilla(home) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Alaves(away) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Valladolid(home) | 3-0 | La Liga |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Mallorca(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Liverpool(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
AC Milan score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Girona score 1.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Girona | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AC Milan sit 13th in UEFA Champions League (15 points from 8 matches) and Girona sit 33rd (3 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | AC Milan | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 15 |
| 33 | Girona | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy