Oviedo vs Girona: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo
The Footlab AI model makes Oviedo the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Girona. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oviedo wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,859 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oviedo vs Girona?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Oviedo (1,997) and Girona (2,062).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oviedo vs Girona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oviedo
4-4-2- 10Alberto Reina
- 18V. Mingo
- 5Y. Didi
- 8Mikel Goti
- 16Aritz Aldasoro
- 32Enzo Perez
- 12Dani Calvo
- 23Carlos Domínguez
- 15S. Rodriguez
- 21David Jiménez
- 13Aarón Escandell
Girona
4-4-2- 19V. Vanat
- 9Abel Ruiz
- 24I. Gonzalez
- 23Carles Pérez
- 8Fran Beltrán
- 17Bryan Gil
- 11Álex Moreno
- 16Alejandro Francés
- 5David López
- 4Javier Boñar
- 13P. Gazzaniga
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 01:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oviedo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Girona have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sabadell(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mallorca(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Oviedo win, 2 draws, 3 Girona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Oviedo 1-0 Girona | La Liga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Girona 3-3 Oviedo | La Liga |
| Mar 6, 2022 | Girona 2-1 Oviedo | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Oviedo 0-0 Girona | Segunda División |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Oviedo 0-1 Girona | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2020 | Girona 1-0 Oviedo | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Oviedo score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Girona score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oviedo | 1.4 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Girona | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oviedo sit 9th in Segunda División (17 points from 10 matches) and Girona sit 5th (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Girona | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 18 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 17 |
A question about Oviedo vs Girona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oviedo vs Girona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oviedo the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Girona.
- Where and when is Oviedo vs Girona played?
- Oviedo vs Girona is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.