Académica do Lobito vs Petro de Luanda: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Estádio do Buraco, Lobito
The Footlab model makes Petro de Luanda the favourite at 60%, against 27% for a draw and 13% for Académica do Lobito. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Académica do Lobito vs Petro de Luanda?
Petro de Luanda is a heavy favourite: 1,971 Elo points against 1,596 — a 375-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Académica do Lobito have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Petro de Luanda have 9, 6 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wiliete(away) | 0-2 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Interclube(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | Recreativo do Libolo(away) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| May 14, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Wiliete(home) | 1-0 | Super Cup |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Teruel(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Valencia(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Desportivo Huíla(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Académica do Lobito win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Petro de Luanda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Académica do Lobito 1-1 Petro de Luanda | Girabola |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Petro de Luanda 2-0 Académica do Lobito | Girabola |
| May 4, 2025 | Académica do Lobito 0-3 Petro de Luanda | Girabola |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Petro de Luanda 3-0 Académica do Lobito | Girabola |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Académica do Lobito 0-4 Petro de Luanda | Girabola |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Petro de Luanda 2-1 Académica do Lobito | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: Académica do Lobito vs Petro de Luanda on May 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Académica do Lobito score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Petro de Luanda score 1.7 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Académica do Lobito | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Petro de Luanda | 1.7 | 0.3 | 12 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Académica do Lobito sit 14th in Girabola (0 points from 1 matches) and Petro de Luanda sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Petro de Luanda | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Académica do Lobito | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Académica do Lobito vs Petro de Luanda?
- The Footlab model makes Petro de Luanda the favourite at 60%, against 27% for a draw and 13% for Académica do Lobito.
- Where and when is Académica do Lobito vs Petro de Luanda played?
- Académica do Lobito vs Petro de Luanda is played on August 30, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Buraco, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.