Recreativo da Caála vs Wiliete: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Mártires da Canhala, Caála
The Footlab model makes Wiliete the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Recreativo da Caála. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Recreativo da Caála vs Wiliete?
Wiliete starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,798 vs 1,657).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Recreativo da Caála have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Wiliete have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Luanda(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 29, 2022 | Académica do Lobito(home) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| May 23, 2022 | Sagrada Esperança(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 7, 2022 | Sporting de Cabinda(away) | 1-2 | Girabola |
| May 1, 2022 | Desportivo Huíla(home) | 2-1 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Académica do Lobito(home) | 2-0 | Girabola |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-1 | Super Cup |
| May 24, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Redonda FC(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | Luanda City(home) | 1-0 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Recreativo da Caála win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Wiliete win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | Recreativo da Caála 0-0 Wiliete | Girabola |
| Dec 12, 2021 | Wiliete 1-1 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
| May 12, 2021 | Recreativo da Caála 2-0 Wiliete | Girabola |
| Jan 17, 2021 | Wiliete 1-0 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
| Nov 2, 2019 | Recreativo da Caála 0-0 Wiliete | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: Recreativo da Caála vs Wiliete on Apr 17, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Recreativo da Caála score 0.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Wiliete score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recreativo da Caála | 0.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Wiliete | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Recreativo da Caála sit 8th in Girabola (1 points from 1 matches) and Wiliete sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wiliete | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Recreativo da Caála | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Recreativo da Caála vs Wiliete?
- The Footlab model makes Wiliete the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Recreativo da Caála.
- Where and when is Recreativo da Caála vs Wiliete played?
- Recreativo da Caála vs Wiliete is played on August 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Mártires da Canhala, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.