Académica do Lobito vs Recreativo da Caála: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Buraco, Lobito
The Footlab model makes Académica do Lobito the favourite at 37%, against 34% for a draw and 29% for Recreativo da Caála. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Académica do Lobito vs Recreativo da Caála?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Académica do Lobito (1,590) and Recreativo da Caála (1,656).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Académica do Lobito have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Recreativo da Caála have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wiliete(away) | 0-2 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Interclube(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | Recreativo do Libolo(away) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| May 14, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Luanda(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 29, 2022 | Académica do Lobito(home) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| May 23, 2022 | Sagrada Esperança(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 7, 2022 | Sporting de Cabinda(away) | 1-2 | Girabola |
| May 1, 2022 | Desportivo Huíla(home) | 2-1 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Académica do Lobito win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Recreativo da Caála win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2022 | Recreativo da Caála 1-0 Académica do Lobito | Girabola |
| Jan 8, 2022 | Académica do Lobito 1-0 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
| Jun 5, 2021 | Académica do Lobito 0-0 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
| Feb 3, 2021 | Recreativo da Caála 1-0 Académica do Lobito | Girabola |
| Mar 15, 2020 | Académica do Lobito 1-2 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
| Oct 22, 2019 | Recreativo da Caála 0-1 Académica do Lobito | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: Recreativo da Caála vs Académica do Lobito on May 29, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Académica do Lobito score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Recreativo da Caála score 0.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Académica do Lobito | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Recreativo da Caála | 0.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Académica do Lobito sit 14th in Girabola (0 points from 1 matches) and Recreativo da Caála sit 9th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Recreativo da Caála | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Académica do Lobito | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Académica do Lobito vs Recreativo da Caála?
- The Footlab model makes Académica do Lobito the favourite at 37%, against 34% for a draw and 29% for Recreativo da Caála.
- Where and when is Académica do Lobito vs Recreativo da Caála played?
- Académica do Lobito vs Recreativo da Caála is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Buraco, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.