Crişul Sântandrei vs Minaur Baia Mare: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 8Group 8 - 3Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Sântandrei, Sântandrei
The Footlab model makes Minaur Baia Mare the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Crişul Sântandrei. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crişul Sântandrei vs Minaur Baia Mare?
Minaur Baia Mare starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,598 vs 1,477).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crişul Sântandrei have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Minaur Baia Mare have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bihor Oradea(home) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sânmartin(away) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Unirea Tășnad(home) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Olimpia Satu Mare(away) | 3-2 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| May 8, 2026 | Bihorul Beiuş(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Corvinul Hunedoara(home) | 2-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | CSM Satu Mare(home) | 5-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sighetu Marmaţiei(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Metalurgistul Cugir(away) | 3-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Viitorul Arad(home) | 2-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Crişul Sântandrei win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Minaur Baia Mare win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Minaur Baia Mare 1-4 Crişul Sântandrei | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Crişul Sântandrei 1-2 Minaur Baia Mare | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| May 3, 2025 | Minaur Baia Mare 5-0 Crişul Sântandrei | Liga III - Serie 10 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Crişul Sântandrei 0-2 Minaur Baia Mare | Liga III - Serie 10 |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Minaur Baia Mare 4-1 Crişul Sântandrei | Liga III - Serie 10 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Crişul Sântandrei 1-3 Minaur Baia Mare | Liga III - Serie 10 |
Last archived meeting: Minaur Baia Mare vs Crişul Sântandrei on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Crişul Sântandrei score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Minaur Baia Mare score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crişul Sântandrei | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Minaur Baia Mare | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crişul Sântandrei sit 1st in Liga III - Serie 8 (50 points from 6 matches) and Minaur Baia Mare sit 1st (47 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minaur Baia Mare | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 27 | 47 |
| 1 | Crişul Sântandrei | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crişul Sântandrei vs Minaur Baia Mare?
- The Footlab model makes Minaur Baia Mare the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Crişul Sântandrei.
- Where and when is Crişul Sântandrei vs Minaur Baia Mare played?
- Crişul Sântandrei vs Minaur Baia Mare is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Sântandrei, in the Liga III - Serie 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.