Academica vs Tondela: result 2-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2016 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio EFAPEL, Coimbra
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What was the result of Academica vs Tondela?
Academica won 2-1 on January 10, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 10′J. MurilloTondela
- 67′Rafael LopesAcademica
- 84′Hugo SecoAcademica
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Academica have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Tondela have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2016 | SC Braga(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 2, 2016 | U. Madeira(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 20, 2015 | FC Porto(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 14, 2015 | Belenenses(home) | 4-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 4, 2015 | Benfica(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2016 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 3, 2016 | Rio Ave(away) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 20, 2015 | Vitoria Setubal(home) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 13, 2015 | SC Braga(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 6, 2015 | U. Madeira(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Academica score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tondela score 0.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academica | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Tondela | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 55 | 28 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy