Sanjoanense vs Academica: prediction and stats
Taça de PortugalRound of 32Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Conde Dias Garcia, São João da Madeira
The Footlab AI model makes Academica the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Sanjoanense. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,188 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sanjoanense vs Academica?
Academica starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (2,039 vs 1,898).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sanjoanense vs Academica
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sanjoanense
4-3-3- 9Francisco Pinto
- 20Erick Gabriel
- 7A. Ramalho
- 10D. Andrezo
- 6Dabo Baba Demonreve
- 8P. Martins
- 65Gabriel Gomes Costa Sylvestre
- 3J. Araujo
- 5R. Santos
- 33G. Sa
- 92B. Santos
Academica
4-3-3- 8K. Zohi
- 23Rui Gomes
- 19Afonso Rodrigues
- 20J. Sinisterra
- 25L. Pierre
- 92A. Coundoul
- 5Leandro Silva
- 2Xavi
- 3Ricardo Teixeira
- 22Hélder Lopes
- 12Victor Braga
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanjoanense have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Academica have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Machico(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Oct 31, 2026 | União Lamas(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Camacha(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Nacional(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Guarda(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Vizela(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Leixoes(home) | 4-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Sanjoanense score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Academica score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanjoanense | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Academica | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Sanjoanense vs Academica?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sanjoanense vs Academica?
- The Footlab AI model makes Academica the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Sanjoanense.
- Where and when is Sanjoanense vs Academica played?
- Sanjoanense vs Academica is played on November 22, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Estádio Conde Dias Garcia, in the Taça de Portugal.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.