AVS vs Tondela: prediction and stats
Taça de PortugalRound of 32Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves, Vila das Aves
The Footlab AI model makes Tondela the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for AVS. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tondela wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AVS vs Tondela?
On Elo ratings, AVS has 2,006 points and Tondela 2,023.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AVS vs Tondela
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AVS
4-3-3- 9Rodrigo Pinho
- 7Guilherme Neiva
- 30Talles Wander
- 70Roni
- 80Hiago Santos
- 78Andrey
- 97Matheus Pivô
- 88F. Almeida
- 3L. Rosić
- 12L. Rivas
- 1Dani Rebollo
Tondela
4-2-3-1- 19Tómané
- 20Hugo Félix
- 7Cascavel
- 37Sarará
- 8Hélder Tavares
- 97Cícero
- 12Zé Ricardo
- 4Christian Marques
- 15Carraça
- 23B. Medina
- 28Araujo Carlos
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 07:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AVS have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Tondela have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Vizela(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 31, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Tondela(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Moreirense(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Penafiel(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Sporting CP B(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(home) | 3-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | AVS(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Alverca(home) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 AVS win, 2 draws, 2 Tondela wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | AVS 2-1 Tondela | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Tondela 0-0 AVS | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 2, 2025 | AVS 2-2 Tondela | Primeira Liga |
| May 19, 2024 | AVS 0-1 Tondela | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Tondela 3-2 AVS | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
AVS score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tondela score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVS | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Tondela | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about AVS vs Tondela?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AVS vs Tondela?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tondela the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for AVS.
- Where and when is AVS vs Tondela played?
- AVS vs Tondela is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves, in the Taça de Portugal.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.