Where and when is Acambaro vs Artesanos Metepec played?

Acambaro vs Artesanos Metepec is played on September 27, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Valentín González, in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Acambaro vs Artesanos Metepec: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Valentín González, Ciudad de México

Acambaro

Artesanos Metepec

The Footlab model makes Artesanos Metepec the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Acambaro. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Acambaro vs Artesanos Metepec?

Artesanos Metepec starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,966 vs 1,833).

Acambaro win21 %

Draw24 %

Artesanos Metepec win55 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Acambaro have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Artesanos Metepec have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Acambaro
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 30, 2026	Gorilas de Juanacatlan(away)	0-4	Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 26, 2026	Gorilas de Juanacatlan(home)	0-0	Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 15, 2026	Gorilas de Juanacatlan(home)	1-0	Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 7, 2026	Huracanes Izcalli(away)	8-3	Liga Premier Serie B
Feb 22, 2026	Dragones de Oaxaca(away)	2-1	Liga Premier Serie B

Artesanos Metepec
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	FC Racing(home)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie B
Apr 11, 2026	FC Racing(away)	3-1	Liga Premier Serie B
Apr 4, 2026	Gorilas de Juanacatlan(home)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie B
Apr 2, 2026	Gorilas de Juanacatlan(away)	3-1	Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 14, 2026	Caja Oblatos CFD(home)	4-0	Liga Premier Serie B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Acambaro win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Artesanos Metepec win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 24, 2026	Artesanos Metepec 1-0 Acambaro	Liga Premier Serie B
Sep 21, 2025	Acambaro 2-1 Artesanos Metepec	Liga Premier Serie B
Apr 5, 2025	Artesanos Metepec 0-1 Acambaro	Liga Premier Serie B
Dec 7, 2024	Acambaro 0-0 Artesanos Metepec	Liga Premier Serie B
Dec 4, 2024	Artesanos Metepec 1-0 Acambaro	Liga Premier Serie B
Nov 30, 2024	Acambaro 1-4 Artesanos Metepec	Liga Premier Serie B

Last archived meeting: Artesanos Metepec vs Acambaro on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Acambaro score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Artesanos Metepec score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Acambaro	1.5	2.0	2	9/15	9/15
Artesanos Metepec	1.5	0.7	5	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Acambaro vs Artesanos Metepec?: The Footlab model makes Artesanos Metepec the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Acambaro.
Where and when is Acambaro vs Artesanos Metepec played?: Acambaro vs Artesanos Metepec is played on September 27, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Valentín González, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.