Match

Real Apodaca vs Acambaro: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, Apodaca Centro

Real ApodacaAcambaro

The Footlab model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Acambaro. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Apodaca vs Acambaro?

Real Apodaca starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,974 vs 1,833).

Real Apodaca win60 %
Draw22 %
Acambaro win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Apodaca have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Acambaro have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Apodaca
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Deportiva Venados(home)2-4Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 30, 2026Deportiva Venados(away)1-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 26, 2026Inter Playa del Carmen(home)3-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 23, 2026Inter Playa del Carmen(away)0-0Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026Correcaminos UAT II(away)0-1Liga Premier Serie A
Acambaro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 30, 2026Gorilas de Juanacatlan(away)0-4Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 26, 2026Gorilas de Juanacatlan(home)0-0Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 15, 2026Gorilas de Juanacatlan(home)1-0Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 7, 2026Huracanes Izcalli(away)8-3Liga Premier Serie B
Feb 22, 2026Dragones de Oaxaca(away)2-1Liga Premier Serie B

How many goals should we expect?

Real Apodaca score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Acambaro score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Apodaca1.51.076/158/15
Acambaro1.52.029/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Real Apodaca262123471966

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Apodaca vs Acambaro?
The Footlab model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Acambaro.
Where and when is Real Apodaca vs Acambaro played?
Real Apodaca vs Acambaro is played on November 22, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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