Where and when is Mineros de Fresnillo vs Artesanos Metepec played?

Mineros de Fresnillo vs Artesanos Metepec is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo, in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mineros de Fresnillo vs Artesanos Metepec: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 13Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo, Fresnillo

Mineros de Fresnillo

Artesanos Metepec

The Footlab model makes Artesanos Metepec the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Mineros de Fresnillo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mineros de Fresnillo vs Artesanos Metepec?

Artesanos Metepec starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,988 vs 1,852).

Mineros de Fresnillo win33 %

Draw26 %

Artesanos Metepec win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mineros de Fresnillo have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Artesanos Metepec have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mineros de Fresnillo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Cimarrones(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 15, 2026	Cimarrones(home)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026	Durango(away)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 28, 2026	Reboceros La Piedad(home)	6-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026	Colima(away)	0-0	Liga Premier Serie A

Artesanos Metepec
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	FC Racing(home)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie B
Apr 11, 2026	FC Racing(away)	3-1	Liga Premier Serie B
Apr 4, 2026	Gorilas de Juanacatlan(home)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie B
Apr 2, 2026	Gorilas de Juanacatlan(away)	3-1	Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 14, 2026	Caja Oblatos CFD(home)	4-0	Liga Premier Serie B

How many goals should we expect?

Mineros de Fresnillo score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Artesanos Metepec score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mineros de Fresnillo	1.7	1.2	4	10/15	8/15
Artesanos Metepec	1.5	0.7	5	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40	41	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mineros de Fresnillo vs Artesanos Metepec?: The Footlab model makes Artesanos Metepec the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Mineros de Fresnillo.
Where and when is Mineros de Fresnillo vs Artesanos Metepec played?: Mineros de Fresnillo vs Artesanos Metepec is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.