Match

Acambaro vs Cañoneros Marina: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 1Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Valentín González, Ciudad de México

AcambaroCañoneros Marina

The Footlab model makes Acambaro the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Cañoneros Marina. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Acambaro vs Cañoneros Marina?

Acambaro starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,833 vs 1,722).

Acambaro win57 %
Draw23 %
Cañoneros Marina win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Acambaro have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Cañoneros Marina have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Acambaro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 30, 2026Gorilas de Juanacatlan(away)0-4Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 26, 2026Gorilas de Juanacatlan(home)0-0Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 15, 2026Gorilas de Juanacatlan(home)1-0Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 7, 2026Huracanes Izcalli(away)8-3Liga Premier Serie B
Feb 22, 2026Dragones de Oaxaca(away)2-1Liga Premier Serie B
Cañoneros Marina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 10, 2026Racing de Veracruz(away)0-5Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 1, 2026Héroes de Zaci(home)5-0Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 28, 2026Tapachula(home)1-2Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026Deportiva Venados(away)0-1Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 14, 2026Neza(home)3-2Liga Premier Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Acambaro win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Cañoneros Marina win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 1, 2025Acambaro 2-0 Cañoneros MarinaLiga Premier Serie B
Sep 28, 2024Cañoneros Marina 0-1 AcambaroLiga Premier Serie B
Mar 29, 2024Acambaro 0-0 Cañoneros MarinaLiga Premier Serie B
Oct 28, 2023Cañoneros Marina 1-5 AcambaroLiga Premier Serie B

Last archived meeting: Acambaro vs Cañoneros Marina on Feb 1, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Acambaro score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Cañoneros Marina score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Acambaro1.52.029/159/15
Cañoneros Marina1.02.134/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Cañoneros Marina247116254922

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Acambaro vs Cañoneros Marina?
The Footlab model makes Acambaro the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Cañoneros Marina.
Where and when is Acambaro vs Cañoneros Marina played?
Acambaro vs Cañoneros Marina is played on August 30, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Valentín González, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Acambaro and Cañoneros Marina

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