Match

Acatlan vs Guerreros: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 1Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Zapotlanejo

AcatlanGuerreros

The Footlab model makes Guerreros the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Acatlan. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Acatlan vs Guerreros?

A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Acatlan (1,706) and Guerreros (1,803).

Acatlan win31 %
Draw22 %
Guerreros win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Acatlan have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Guerreros have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Acatlan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026Cimarrones(home)0-4Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 5, 2026Colima(home)1-3Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2026Ensenada(away)1-0Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 22, 2026UA Zacatecas(home)4-2Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 15, 2026Durango(home)0-3Liga Premier Serie A
Guerreros
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026Reboceros La Piedad(away)0-3Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 5, 2026Tritons Vallarta(home)0-1Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2026Colima(home)2-0Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026Leones Negros(away)1-2Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 15, 2026Los Cabos United(home)1-1Liga Premier Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Acatlan win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Guerreros win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 18, 2026Acatlan 3-0 GuerrerosLiga Premier Serie A
Aug 31, 2025Guerreros 3-1 AcatlanLiga Premier Serie A

Last archived meeting: Acatlan vs Guerreros on Jan 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Acatlan score 1.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Guerreros score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Acatlan1.72.728/1513/15
Guerreros1.21.429/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Acatlan sit 13th in Liga Premier Serie A (21 points from 26 matches) and Guerreros sit 9th (32 points from 26 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Guerreros268513384232
13Acatlan266119397321

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Acatlan vs Guerreros?
The Footlab model makes Guerreros the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Acatlan.
Where and when is Acatlan vs Guerreros played?
Acatlan vs Guerreros is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Acatlan and Guerreros

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