Accra Lions vs Home Stars: prediction and stats
Division One LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Accra Sports Stadium, Accra
The Footlab model makes Accra Lions the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Home Stars. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Accra Lions vs Home Stars?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Accra Lions (1,480) and Home Stars (1,490).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Accra Lions have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Home Stars have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Port City(away) | 1-1 | Division One League |
| May 9, 2026 | Na God(home) | 2-1 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | Hakla SC(away) | 1-2 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Inter Allies(home) | 0-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Great Ambitions(away) | 5-0 | Division One League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Okwawu(home) | 0-1 | Division One League |
| May 9, 2026 | Great Olympics(away) | 0-2 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | Golden Warriors(home) | 1-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Golden Kicks(away) | 1-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Nania(home) | 0-1 | Division One League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Accra Lions win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Home Stars win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Accra Lions 2-1 Home Stars | Division One League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Home Stars 1-0 Accra Lions | Division One League |
Last archived meeting: Accra Lions vs Home Stars on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Accra Lions score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Home Stars score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accra Lions | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Home Stars | 0.8 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Accra Lions sit 10th in Division One League (1 points from 1 matches) and Home Stars sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Home Stars | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Accra Lions | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Accra Lions vs Home Stars?
- The Footlab model makes Accra Lions the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Home Stars.
- Where and when is Accra Lions vs Home Stars played?
- Accra Lions vs Home Stars is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Accra Sports Stadium, in the Division One League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.