Accra Lions vs True Democracy: prediction and stats
Division One LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Accra Sports Stadium, Accra
The Footlab model makes Accra Lions the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for True Democracy. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Accra Lions vs True Democracy?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Accra Lions (1,480) and True Democracy (1,499).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Accra Lions have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; True Democracy have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Port City(away) | 1-1 | Division One League |
| May 9, 2026 | Na God(home) | 2-1 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | Hakla SC(away) | 1-2 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Inter Allies(home) | 0-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Great Ambitions(away) | 5-0 | Division One League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Attram de Visser(away) | 1-2 | Division One League |
| May 9, 2026 | Port City(home) | 1-0 | Division One League |
| May 2, 2026 | Na God(away) | 0-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Hakla SC(home) | 3-2 | Division One League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Inter Allies(away) | 1-2 | Division One League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Accra Lions win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 True Democracy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | True Democracy 0-1 Accra Lions | Division One League |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Accra Lions 1-1 True Democracy | Division One League |
Last archived meeting: True Democracy vs Accra Lions on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Accra Lions score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; True Democracy score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accra Lions | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| True Democracy | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Accra Lions sit 10th in Division One League (1 points from 1 matches) and True Democracy sit 11th (1 points from 1 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Accra Lions | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | True Democracy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Accra Lions vs True Democracy?
- The Footlab model makes Accra Lions the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for True Democracy.
- Where and when is Accra Lions vs True Democracy played?
- Accra Lions vs True Democracy is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Accra Sports Stadium, in the Division One League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.