True Democracy vs Accra Lions: prediction and stats
Division One LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nii Adjei Kraku II Sports Complex, Tema
The Footlab model makes True Democracy the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Accra Lions. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win True Democracy vs Accra Lions?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate True Democracy (1,499) and Accra Lions (1,480).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, True Democracy have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Accra Lions have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Attram de Visser(away) | 1-2 | Division One League |
| May 9, 2026 | Port City(home) | 1-0 | Division One League |
| May 2, 2026 | Na God(away) | 0-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Hakla SC(home) | 3-2 | Division One League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Inter Allies(away) | 1-2 | Division One League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Port City(away) | 1-1 | Division One League |
| May 9, 2026 | Na God(home) | 2-1 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | Hakla SC(away) | 1-2 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Inter Allies(home) | 0-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Great Ambitions(away) | 5-0 | Division One League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 True Democracy win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Accra Lions win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | True Democracy 0-1 Accra Lions | Division One League |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Accra Lions 1-1 True Democracy | Division One League |
Last archived meeting: True Democracy vs Accra Lions on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
True Democracy score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Accra Lions score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| True Democracy | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Accra Lions | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
True Democracy sit 11th in Division One League (1 points from 1 matches) and Accra Lions sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Accra Lions | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | True Democracy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for True Democracy vs Accra Lions?
- The Footlab model makes True Democracy the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Accra Lions.
- Where and when is True Democracy vs Accra Lions played?
- True Democracy vs Accra Lions is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nii Adjei Kraku II Sports Complex, in the Division One League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.