Acero vs Soneja: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Fornás, El Port de Sagunt
The Footlab model makes Acero the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Soneja. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Acero vs Soneja?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Acero (1,666) and Soneja (1,747).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Acero have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Soneja have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | Silla(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 5, 2024 | Ontinyent 1931(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 1, 2024 | Elche II(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Utiel(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Levante II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Jove Español(home) | 5-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Roda(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | RC Catarroja(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Torrellano(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Hércules II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Acero win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Soneja win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024 | Acero 1-0 Soneja | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Soneja 0-1 Acero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
How many goals should we expect?
Acero score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Soneja score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acero | 1.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Soneja | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Soneja | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 35 | 42 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Acero vs Soneja?
- The Footlab model makes Acero the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Soneja.
- Where and when is Acero vs Soneja played?
- Acero vs Soneja is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Fornás, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.