Vall de Uxó vs Roda: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Vall de Uxó the favourite at 44%, against 31% for a draw and 25% for Roda. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vall de Uxó vs Roda?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Vall de Uxó (1,759) and Roda (1,724).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vall de Uxó have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Roda have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Utiel(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Saguntino(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Alzira(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Jove Español(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Roda(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Crevillente(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Soneja(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Buñol(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Utiel(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Vall de Uxó(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Vall de Uxó win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Roda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Vall de Uxó 1-0 Roda | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Roda 2-1 Vall de Uxó | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Roda 4-0 Vall de Uxó | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Vall de Uxó 0-0 Roda | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
How many goals should we expect?
Vall de Uxó score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Roda score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vall de Uxó | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Roda | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vall de Uxó sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 (49 points from 34 matches) and Roda sit 12th (40 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Vall de Uxó | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 29 | 49 |
| 12 | Roda | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 32 | 45 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vall de Uxó vs Roda?
- The Footlab model makes Vall de Uxó the favourite at 44%, against 31% for a draw and 25% for Roda.
- Where and when is Vall de Uxó vs Roda played?
- Vall de Uxó vs Roda is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.