Gemert vs Achilles Veen: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Molenbroek, Gemert
The Footlab model makes Gemert the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Achilles Veen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gemert vs Achilles Veen?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Gemert (1,808) and Achilles Veen (1,736).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gemert have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Achilles Veen have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | GOES(home) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Helmond Sport(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | GOES(away) | 3-3 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 16, 2026 | SteDoCo(home) | 6-1 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Noordwijk(home) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Lisse(away) | 1-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 5, 2025 | Kozakken Boys(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Sparta Nijkerk(away) | 2-4 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 3, 2024 | Harkemase Boys(home) | 2-1 | KNVB Beker |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Gemert win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Achilles Veen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2020 | Achilles Veen 2-0 Gemert | KNVB Beker |
Last archived meeting: Achilles Veen vs Gemert on Oct 7, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Gemert score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Achilles Veen score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemert | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Achilles Veen | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gemert sit 10th in Derde Divisie (2 points from 2 matches) and Achilles Veen sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Gemert | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 18 | Achilles Veen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gemert vs Achilles Veen?
- The Footlab model makes Gemert the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Achilles Veen.
- Where and when is Gemert vs Achilles Veen played?
- Gemert vs Achilles Veen is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Molenbroek, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.