AD Sarchí vs Municipal Grecia: prediction and stats
Liga de AscensoRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes AD Sarchí the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Municipal Grecia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AD Sarchí vs Municipal Grecia?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate AD Sarchí (1,586) and Municipal Grecia (1,542).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AD Sarchí have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Municipal Grecia have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Quepos Cambute(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ADR Jicaral(away) | 1-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AD Cofutpa(home) | 2-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Municipal Grecia(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Apr 5, 2026 | ADR Jicaral(away) | 2-3 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Aserri FC(away) | 2-3 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Santa Cruz FC(away) | 2-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Quepos Cambute(home) | 2-0 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Apr 12, 2026 | AD Sarchí(away) | 1-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Quepos Cambute(home) | 3-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 AD Sarchí win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Municipal Grecia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | AD Sarchí 1-1 Municipal Grecia | Liga de Ascenso |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Municipal Grecia 1-0 AD Sarchí | Liga de Ascenso |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Municipal Grecia 1-3 AD Sarchí | Liga de Ascenso |
| Sep 28, 2025 | AD Sarchí 2-2 Municipal Grecia | Liga de Ascenso |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Municipal Grecia 1-2 AD Sarchí | Liga de Ascenso |
| Feb 16, 2025 | AD Sarchí 0-3 Municipal Grecia | Liga de Ascenso |
Last archived meeting: AD Sarchí vs Municipal Grecia on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AD Sarchí score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Municipal Grecia score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AD Sarchí | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Municipal Grecia | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AD Sarchí sit 8th in Liga de Ascenso (5 points from 3 matches) and Municipal Grecia sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Municipal Grecia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | AD Sarchí | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AD Sarchí vs Municipal Grecia?
- The Footlab model makes AD Sarchí the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Municipal Grecia.
- Where and when is AD Sarchí vs Municipal Grecia played?
- AD Sarchí vs Municipal Grecia is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga de Ascenso.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.