Guadalupe FC vs Cariari Pococi: prediction and stats
Liga de AscensoRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Eladio Rosabal Cordero, Heredia
The Footlab model makes Guadalupe FC the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Cariari Pococi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guadalupe FC vs Cariari Pococi?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Guadalupe FC (1,531) and Cariari Pococi (1,526).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guadalupe FC have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Cariari Pococi have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aserri FC(home) | 0-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC(away) | 2-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Futbol Consultants Moravia(away) | 2-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Apr 26, 2026 | CS Cartagines(home) | 0-5 | Primera División |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(away) | 0-5 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Futbol Consultants Moravia(away) | 1-0 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CS Uruguay(away) | 1-0 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Aserri FC(away) | 2-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Futbol Consultants Moravia(home) | 0-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Mar 29, 2026 | CS Uruguay(away) | 0-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Guadalupe FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Cariari Pococi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2025 | Guadalupe FC 0-0 Cariari Pococi | Liga de Ascenso |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Cariari Pococi 3-1 Guadalupe FC | Liga de Ascenso |
| Oct 2, 2024 | Cariari Pococi 3-1 Guadalupe FC | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Guadalupe FC 3-0 Cariari Pococi | Liga de Ascenso |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Guadalupe FC 3-0 Cariari Pococi | Liga de Ascenso |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Cariari Pococi 1-2 Guadalupe FC | Liga de Ascenso |
Last archived meeting: Guadalupe FC vs Cariari Pococi on Mar 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Guadalupe FC score 0.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cariari Pococi score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalupe FC | 0.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Cariari Pococi | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guadalupe FC sit 9th in Liga de Ascenso (4 points from 3 matches) and Cariari Pococi sit 5th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cariari Pococi | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Guadalupe FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guadalupe FC vs Cariari Pococi?
- The Footlab model makes Guadalupe FC the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Cariari Pococi.
- Where and when is Guadalupe FC vs Cariari Pococi played?
- Guadalupe FC vs Cariari Pococi is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Eladio Rosabal Cordero, in the Liga de Ascenso.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.