Adama Kenema vs Welayta Dicha: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Adama Stadium, Nazreth
The Footlab AI model makes Welayta Dicha the favourite at 46%, against 32% for a draw and 22% for Adama Kenema. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,337 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Adama Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Adama Kenema (1,493) and Welayta Dicha (1,567).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Adama Kenema vs Welayta Dicha
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Adama Kenema
4-3-3- 18Abubeker Sani
- 15A. Elias
- 12D. Hotessa
- 16A. Sisay
- 25W. Gadissa
- 9N. Nuri
- 29Mujib Kassim Hamza
- 6M. Abdulkarim
- 21S. Yohannes
- 15M. Awol
- 1A. Markos
Welayta Dicha
4-3-3- 10C. Damtew
- 19Y. Darza
- 11A. Aliso
- 8A. Kidane
- 16T. Taffese
- 14M. Nicole
- 44N. Nasaro
- 27Yonatan Elias
- 5K. Kebede
- 26Wubshet Kifle
- 1B. Genetu
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 12:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adama Kenema have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Welayta Dicha have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Ethiopia Bunna(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Negelle Arsi(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Kedus Giorgis(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sheger Ketema(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Mebrat Hayl(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Welwalo Adigrat Uni(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Halaba Ketema(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Bahardar(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Hadiya Hosaena(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fasil Ketema(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Adama Kenema win, 4 draws, 1 Welayta Dicha win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Adama Kenema 0-2 Welayta Dicha | Premier League |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Welayta Dicha 1-1 Adama Kenema | Premier League |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Adama Kenema 0-0 Welayta Dicha | Premier League |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Welayta Dicha 2-2 Adama Kenema | Premier League |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Adama Kenema 1-1 Welayta Dicha | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Welayta Dicha 0-1 Adama Kenema | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Adama Kenema vs Welayta Dicha on Jun 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Adama Kenema score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Welayta Dicha score 1.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adama Kenema | 0.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Welayta Dicha | 1.3 | 0.5 | 11 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Adama Kenema sit 10th in Premier League (6 points from 5 matches) and Welayta Dicha sit 3rd (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Welayta Dicha | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 8 |
| 10 | Adama Kenema | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
A question about Adama Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Adama Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?
- The Footlab AI model makes Welayta Dicha the favourite at 46%, against 32% for a draw and 22% for Adama Kenema.
- Where and when is Adama Kenema vs Welayta Dicha played?
- Adama Kenema vs Welayta Dicha is played on January 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Adama Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 9, 2027Awassa KenemavsFasil Ketema
- Jan 9, 2027Ethiopia BunnavsMekelakeya
- Jan 9, 2027Kedus GiorgisvsEthiopian Medhin
- Jan 9, 2027Sidama BunnavsWelwalo Adigrat Uni
- Jan 9, 2027Mebrat HaylvsEthiopia Nigd Bank
- Jan 9, 2027Sheger KetemavsHalaba Ketema
- Jan 9, 2027Negelle ArsivsHadiya Hosaena
- Jan 9, 2027Gamo ChenchavsBahardar