Match

Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba

Ethiopia BunnaMekelakeya

The Footlab AI model makes Mekelakeya the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for Ethiopia Bunna. The most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,005 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Ethiopia Bunna (1,526) and Mekelakeya (1,589).

24%31%45%
Ethiopia Bunna winDrawMekelakeya win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Ethiopia Bunna

Not enough data to predict the Ethiopia Bunna lineup.

Mekelakeya

4-3-3
  1. 27A. Yigzaw
  2. 14Mohammed Abera
  3. 35C. Kudjoe
  1. 7Bereket Desta Dana
  2. 10Abdulkarim Worku
  3. 19C. Gugsa
  1. 6G. Hagos
  2. 34N. Hailu
  3. 2F. Jemal
  4. 22C. Menberu
  1. 1Nafian Legason Alionzi

Computed on November 8, 2026 at 06:15 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ethiopia Bunna have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Mekelakeya have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ethiopia Bunna
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Adama Kenema(home)0-0Premier League
Oct 25, 2026Mebrat Hayl(home)0-1Premier League
Oct 21, 2026Negelle Arsi(home)0-3Premier League
Oct 17, 2026Kedus Giorgis(away)2-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Sheger Ketema(home)0-1Premier League
Mekelakeya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Sidama Bunna(away)0-0Premier League
Oct 27, 2026Ethiopian Medhin(away)3-1Premier League
Oct 22, 2026Gamo Chencha(away)1-0Premier League
Oct 18, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home)0-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Awassa Kenema(away)1-0Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ethiopia Bunna wins, 2 draws, 0 Mekelakeya wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Ethiopia Bunna 1-1 MekelakeyaPremier League
Dec 31, 2025Mekelakeya 0-1 Ethiopia BunnaPremier League
Apr 4, 2025Mekelakeya 0-1 Ethiopia BunnaPremier League
Feb 8, 2025Ethiopia Bunna 1-0 MekelakeyaPremier League
Apr 21, 2024Ethiopia Bunna 1-1 MekelakeyaPremier League
Feb 8, 2024Mekelakeya 0-4 Ethiopia BunnaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ethiopia Bunna score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mekelakeya score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ethiopia Bunna0.71.155/156/15
Mekelakeya0.90.784/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ethiopia Bunna sit 14th in Premier League (4 points from 5 matches) and Mekelakeya sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Mekelakeya53115210
14Ethiopia Bunna5113264

A question about Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya?
The Footlab AI model makes Mekelakeya the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for Ethiopia Bunna.
Where and when is Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya played?
Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya is played on January 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Addis Ababa Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Ethiopia Bunna and Mekelakeya

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