Gamo Chencha vs Bahardar: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 25% for Gamo Chencha, 38% for a draw, 37% for Bahardar. The most likely score is 0-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,920 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gamo Chencha vs Bahardar?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Gamo Chencha (1,461) and Bahardar (1,550).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gamo Chencha vs Bahardar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gamo Chencha
Not enough data to predict the Gamo Chencha lineup.
Bahardar
Not enough data to predict the Bahardar lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
In their last match in all competitions, Gamo Chencha have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat; Bahardar have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethiopian Medhin(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Halaba Ketema(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hadiya Hosaena(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Sidama Bunna(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Awassa Kenema(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Gamo Chencha score 0.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match in their last match; Bahardar score 0.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 19% probability of over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamo Chencha | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
| Bahardar | 0.8 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last match in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gamo Chencha sit 18th in Premier League (0 points from 1 match) and Bahardar sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bahardar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 18 | Gamo Chencha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
A question about Gamo Chencha vs Bahardar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gamo Chencha vs Bahardar?
- The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 25% for Gamo Chencha, 38% for a draw, 37% for Bahardar.
- Where and when is Gamo Chencha vs Bahardar played?
- Gamo Chencha vs Bahardar is played on January 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 19% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 9, 2027Adama KenemavsWelayta Dicha
- Jan 9, 2027Awassa KenemavsFasil Ketema
- Jan 9, 2027Ethiopia BunnavsMekelakeya
- Jan 9, 2027Kedus GiorgisvsEthiopian Medhin
- Jan 9, 2027Sidama BunnavsWelwalo Adigrat Uni
- Jan 9, 2027Mebrat HaylvsEthiopia Nigd Bank
- Jan 9, 2027Sheger KetemavsHalaba Ketema
- Jan 9, 2027Negelle ArsivsHadiya Hosaena