Adana Demirspor vs Elazığspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Adana Stadyumu, Adana
The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Adana Demirspor. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Adana Demirspor vs Elazığspor?
Elazığspor is a heavy favourite: 1,880 Elo points against 1,451 — a 428-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adana Demirspor have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Elazığspor have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | İstanbulspor(away) | 1-8 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(home) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Boluspor(away) | 0-6 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Iğdır FK(home) | 1-6 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Hatayspor(away) | 0-4 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| May 4, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(home) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(away) | 4-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | 24 Erzincanspor(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | İskenderunspor(away) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Adana Demirspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Elazığspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2019 | Elazığspor 0-2 Adana Demirspor | 1. Lig |
| Oct 22, 2018 | Adana Demirspor 0-1 Elazığspor | 1. Lig |
| Apr 15, 2018 | Elazığspor 2-1 Adana Demirspor | 1. Lig |
| Dec 3, 2017 | Adana Demirspor 2-2 Elazığspor | 1. Lig |
| Mar 19, 2017 | Elazığspor 4-2 Adana Demirspor | 1. Lig |
| Oct 21, 2016 | Adana Demirspor 1-0 Elazığspor | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Elazığspor vs Adana Demirspor on Mar 16, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Adana Demirspor score 0.5 and concede 4.5 goals per match over their last 15; Elazığspor score 2.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adana Demirspor | 0.5 | 4.5 | 0 | 6/15 | 13/15 |
| Elazığspor | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Elazığspor | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 82 | 37 | 69 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Adana Demirspor vs Elazığspor?
- The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Adana Demirspor.
- Where and when is Adana Demirspor vs Elazığspor played?
- Adana Demirspor vs Elazığspor is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Adana Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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