Where and when is Güzide Gebzespor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor played?

Güzide Gebzespor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Derince Belediyespor Doğal Çim Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Güzide Gebzespor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Derince Belediyespor Doğal Çim Stadyumu, Derince

Güzide Gebzespor

Arnavutköy Belediyespor

The Footlab model makes Güzide Gebzespor the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Arnavutköy Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Güzide Gebzespor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Güzide Gebzespor (1,673) and Arnavutköy Belediyespor (1,624).

Güzide Gebzespor win50 %

Draw27 %

Arnavutköy Belediyespor win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Güzide Gebzespor have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Arnavutköy Belediyespor have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Güzide Gebzespor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Ankara Demirspor(away)	2-2	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Mardin 1969(home)	1-2	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Fethiyespor(home)	1-2	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	Muş Sport Klübü(away)	1-3	2. Lig
Mar 29, 2026	Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home)	1-0	2. Lig

Arnavutköy Belediyespor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Isparta 32 Spor(home)	2-0	2. Lig
Apr 18, 2026	Adanaspor(away)	1-0	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Muş Sport Klübü(away)	1-2	2. Lig
Mar 28, 2026	1461 Trabzon FK(away)	1-0	2. Lig
Mar 14, 2026	Aliağa FAŞ(away)	0-3	2. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Güzide Gebzespor win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Arnavutköy Belediyespor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 9, 2026	Arnavutköy Belediyespor 0-2 Güzide Gebzespor	2. Lig
Sep 28, 2025	Güzide Gebzespor 1-0 Arnavutköy Belediyespor	2. Lig
Feb 12, 2025	Güzide Gebzespor 1-1 Arnavutköy Belediyespor	2. Lig
Sep 28, 2024	Arnavutköy Belediyespor 0-0 Güzide Gebzespor	2. Lig
Mar 6, 2024	Arnavutköy Belediyespor 1-0 Güzide Gebzespor	2. Lig
Oct 22, 2023	Güzide Gebzespor 1-1 Arnavutköy Belediyespor	2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Güzide Gebzespor on Feb 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Güzide Gebzespor score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Arnavutköy Belediyespor score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Güzide Gebzespor	1.5	1.1	5	7/15	7/15
Arnavutköy Belediyespor	0.7	1.0	7	4/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Güzide Gebzespor sit 7th in 2. Lig (58 points from 34 matches) and Arnavutköy Belediyespor sit 12th (46 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Güzide Gebzespor	34	16	10	8	56	31	58
12	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	34	13	7	14	40	36	46

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Güzide Gebzespor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor?: The Footlab model makes Güzide Gebzespor the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Arnavutköy Belediyespor.
Where and when is Güzide Gebzespor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor played?: Güzide Gebzespor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Derince Belediyespor Doğal Çim Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.