Ankaraspor vs Erbaaspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)15 Temmuz Milli Birlik Stadyumu, Sincan
The Footlab model makes Ankaraspor the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Erbaaspor. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ankaraspor vs Erbaaspor?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Ankaraspor (1,694) and Erbaaspor (1,599).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ankaraspor have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Erbaaspor have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Şanlıurfaspor(away) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Karaman FK(home) | 5-4 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Karacabey Belediyespor(away) | 3-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(home) | 2-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Altınordu(away) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ankaragücü(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Elazığspor(away) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(home) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | 24 Erzincanspor(away) | 2-3 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ankaraspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Erbaaspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Ankaraspor 3-1 Erbaaspor | 2. Lig |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Erbaaspor 1-0 Ankaraspor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Ankaraspor vs Erbaaspor on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ankaraspor score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Erbaaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankaraspor | 1.8 | 2.1 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Erbaaspor | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ankaraspor sit 10th in 2. Lig (52 points from 36 matches) and Erbaaspor sit 15th (34 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ankaraspor | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 52 |
| 15 | Erbaaspor | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 40 | 61 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ankaraspor vs Erbaaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Ankaraspor the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Erbaaspor.
- Where and when is Ankaraspor vs Erbaaspor played?
- Ankaraspor vs Erbaaspor is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at 15 Temmuz Milli Birlik Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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