Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Adelaide Raiders: prediction and stats
South Australia State League 1Semi-finalsKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 05:30 AM (UTC)Marden Sports Complex, Adelaide
The Footlab model makes Adelaide Blue Eagles the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Adelaide Raiders. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Adelaide Raiders?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Adelaide Blue Eagles (1,749) and Adelaide Raiders (1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adelaide Blue Eagles have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Adelaide Raiders have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fulham United(away) | 3-2 | South Australia State League 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eastern United(home) | 2-1 | South Australia State League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fulham United(away) | 0-0 | South Australia State League 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Adelaide Raiders(home) | 1-1 | South Australia State League 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Cumberland United(away) | 1-2 | South Australia State League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Adelaide Olympic(away) | 1-0 | South Australia State League 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | The Cove(home) | 4-2 | South Australia State League 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Adelaide Blue Eagles(away) | 1-1 | South Australia State League 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fulham United(home) | 1-0 | South Australia State League 1 |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Eastern United(home) | 3-0 | South Australia State League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Adelaide Blue Eagles win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Adelaide Raiders win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Adelaide Blue Eagles 1-1 Adelaide Raiders | South Australia State League 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Adelaide Raiders 3-4 Adelaide Blue Eagles | South Australia State League 1 |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Adelaide Raiders 3-1 Adelaide Blue Eagles | South Australia State League 1 |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Adelaide Blue Eagles 2-4 Adelaide Raiders | South Australia State League 1 |
| Jul 2, 2022 | Adelaide Raiders 1-0 Adelaide Blue Eagles | South Australia State League 1 |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Adelaide Blue Eagles 2-2 Adelaide Raiders | South Australia State League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Adelaide Raiders on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Adelaide Blue Eagles score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Adelaide Raiders score 2.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Blue Eagles | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Adelaide Raiders | 2.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Adelaide Blue Eagles sit 5th in South Australia State League 1 (36 points from 22 matches) and Adelaide Raiders sit 1st (47 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide Raiders | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 56 | 26 | 47 |
| 5 | Adelaide Blue Eagles | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 29 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Adelaide Raiders?
- The Footlab model makes Adelaide Blue Eagles the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Adelaide Raiders.
- Where and when is Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Adelaide Raiders played?
- Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Adelaide Raiders is played on August 29, 2026 at 05:30 AM (UTC) at Marden Sports Complex, in the South Australia State League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.