Adelaide Olympic vs Modbury Jets: prediction and stats
South Australia State League 1Semi-finalsKick-off on August 28, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Apex Football Centre Pitch 1, Adelaide
The Footlab model makes Adelaide Olympic the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Modbury Jets. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Adelaide Olympic vs Modbury Jets?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Adelaide Olympic (1,748) and Modbury Jets (1,803).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adelaide Olympic have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Modbury Jets have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Adelaide Victory(home) | 3-1 | South Australia State League 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Adelaide Raiders(home) | 0-1 | South Australia State League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cumberland United(away) | 2-0 | South Australia State League 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Adelaide Cobras(away) | 2-0 | South Australia State League 1 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | South Adelaide Panthers(home) | 5-1 | South Australia State League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cumberland United(away) | 1-0 | South Australia State League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Adelaide Cobras(home) | 4-0 | South Australia State League 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | South Adelaide Panthers(away) | 3-2 | South Australia State League 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Adelaide Victory(home) | 4-0 | South Australia State League 1 |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Salisbury United(away) | 3-2 | South Australia State League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Adelaide Olympic win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Modbury Jets win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Modbury Jets 4-1 Adelaide Olympic | South Australia State League 1 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Adelaide Olympic 1-1 Modbury Jets | South Australia State League 1 |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Adelaide Olympic 1-4 Modbury Jets | South Australia NPL |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Modbury Jets 3-1 Adelaide Olympic | South Australia NPL |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Modbury Jets 1-3 Adelaide Olympic | South Australia NPL |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Adelaide Olympic 3-2 Modbury Jets | South Australia NPL |
Last archived meeting: Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Olympic on Jun 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Adelaide Olympic score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Modbury Jets score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Olympic | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Modbury Jets | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Adelaide Olympic sit 3rd in South Australia State League 1 (43 points from 22 matches) and Modbury Jets sit 2nd (44 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Modbury Jets | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 46 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Adelaide Olympic | 22 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 42 | 25 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Adelaide Olympic vs Modbury Jets?
- The Footlab model makes Adelaide Olympic the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Modbury Jets.
- Where and when is Adelaide Olympic vs Modbury Jets played?
- Adelaide Olympic vs Modbury Jets is played on August 28, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Apex Football Centre Pitch 1, in the South Australia State League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.