Adhyaksa vs Arema FC: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 33Kick-off on May 30, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Maladi Sriwedari, Surakarta
The Footlab model makes Adhyaksa the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Arema FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Adhyaksa vs Arema FC?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Adhyaksa (1,735) and Arema FC (1,747).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adhyaksa have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Arema FC have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Persipura Jayapura(away) | 1-0 | Liga 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Sriwijaya FC(home) | 4-0 | Liga 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | PSMS Medan(away) | 1-1 | Liga 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bekasi City(away) | 1-3 | Liga 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Persiraja Banda Aceh(home) | 4-3 | Liga 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Persija(away) | 1-3 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 31, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 2-0 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(away) | 2-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
How many goals should we expect?
Adhyaksa score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adhyaksa | 2.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Arema FC | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Arema FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 47 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Adhyaksa vs Arema FC?
- The Footlab model makes Adhyaksa the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Arema FC.
- Where and when is Adhyaksa vs Arema FC played?
- Adhyaksa vs Arema FC is played on May 30, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Maladi Sriwedari, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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