Match

Basake Holy Stars vs Karela: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Crosby Awuah Memorial Stadium, Nzema Anyinase

Basake Holy StarsKarela

The Footlab model makes Basake Holy Stars the favourite at 52%, against 30% for a draw and 18% for Karela. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Basake Holy Stars vs Karela?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Basake Holy Stars (1,515) and Karela (1,569).

Basake Holy Stars win52 %
Draw30 %
Karela win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basake Holy Stars have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Karela have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Basake Holy Stars
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 18, 2026Aduana Stars(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
May 27, 2026Medeama(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026Dreams(home)1-4Premier League
May 10, 2026Medeama(home)0-1Premier League
May 6, 2026Aduana Stars(home)2-0Premier League
Karela
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Nations(home)0-1Premier League
May 17, 2026Swedru All Blacks(home)1-0Premier League
May 10, 2026Vision(away)0-3Premier League
May 6, 2026Hearts of Oak(away)0-0Premier League
May 3, 2026Young Apostles(home)2-1Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Basake Holy Stars win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Karela win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2026Basake Holy Stars 1-0 KarelaPremier League
Nov 22, 2025Karela 3-2 Basake Holy StarsPremier League
Mar 9, 2025Karela 1-1 Basake Holy StarsPremier League
Oct 13, 2024Basake Holy Stars 1-0 KarelaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Basake Holy Stars vs Karela on Apr 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Basake Holy Stars score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Karela score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Basake Holy Stars0.71.093/154/15
Karela0.90.983/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Basake Holy Stars sit 12th in Premier League (46 points from 34 matches) and Karela sit 9th (49 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Karela34131011323349
12Basake Holy Stars3413714303946

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Basake Holy Stars vs Karela?
The Footlab model makes Basake Holy Stars the favourite at 52%, against 30% for a draw and 18% for Karela.
Where and when is Basake Holy Stars vs Karela played?
Basake Holy Stars vs Karela is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Crosby Awuah Memorial Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Basake Holy Stars and Karela

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