Basake Holy Stars vs Karela: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Crosby Awuah Memorial Stadium, Nzema Anyinase
The Footlab model makes Basake Holy Stars the favourite at 52%, against 30% for a draw and 18% for Karela. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Basake Holy Stars vs Karela?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Basake Holy Stars (1,515) and Karela (1,569).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basake Holy Stars have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Karela have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | Aduana Stars(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 27, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Dreams(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Aduana Stars(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Nations(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Swedru All Blacks(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Vision(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Young Apostles(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Basake Holy Stars win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Karela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars 1-0 Karela | Premier League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Karela 3-2 Basake Holy Stars | Premier League |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Karela 1-1 Basake Holy Stars | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Basake Holy Stars 1-0 Karela | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Basake Holy Stars vs Karela on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Basake Holy Stars score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Karela score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basake Holy Stars | 0.7 | 1.0 | 9 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Karela | 0.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Basake Holy Stars sit 12th in Premier League (46 points from 34 matches) and Karela sit 9th (49 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Karela | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 32 | 33 | 49 |
| 12 | Basake Holy Stars | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 30 | 39 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Basake Holy Stars vs Karela?
- The Footlab model makes Basake Holy Stars the favourite at 52%, against 30% for a draw and 18% for Karela.
- Where and when is Basake Holy Stars vs Karela played?
- Basake Holy Stars vs Karela is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Crosby Awuah Memorial Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Asante KotokovsBechem United
- Apr 17, 2027Ashanti GoldvsMedeama
- Apr 17, 2027Aduana StarsvsHearts of Oak
- Apr 17, 2027Heart of LionsvsPort City
- Apr 17, 2027SamartexvsDreams
- Apr 17, 2027Debibi UnitedvsVision
- Apr 17, 2027Swedru All BlacksvsBibiani Gold Stars
- Apr 17, 2027Young ApostlesvsBerekum Chelsea