Hearts of Oak vs Aduana Stars: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Accra Sports Stadium, Accra
The Footlab model makes Hearts of Oak the favourite at 52%, against 34% for a draw and 14% for Aduana Stars. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hearts of Oak vs Aduana Stars?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Hearts of Oak (1,637) and Aduana Stars (1,574).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hearts of Oak have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Aduana Stars have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Samartex(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Aduana Stars(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Karela(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Nations(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Vision(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Young Apostles(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hearts of Oak win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Aduana Stars win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Hearts of Oak 0-0 Aduana Stars | Premier League |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Aduana Stars 0-0 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Aduana Stars 2-0 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Hearts of Oak 0-0 Aduana Stars | Premier League |
| May 19, 2024 | Hearts of Oak 0-1 Aduana Stars | Premier League |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Aduana Stars 1-0 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Hearts of Oak vs Aduana Stars on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hearts of Oak score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Aduana Stars score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 21% probability of over 2.5 goals and 25% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hearts of Oak | 0.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Aduana Stars | 0.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hearts of Oak sit 3rd in Premier League (54 points from 34 matches) and Aduana Stars sit 6th (50 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hearts of Oak | 34 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 54 |
| 6 | Aduana Stars | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 24 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hearts of Oak vs Aduana Stars?
- The Footlab model makes Hearts of Oak the favourite at 52%, against 34% for a draw and 14% for Aduana Stars.
- Where and when is Hearts of Oak vs Aduana Stars played?
- Hearts of Oak vs Aduana Stars is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Accra Sports Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 21% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026DreamsvsSamartex
- Nov 21, 2026Bechem UnitedvsAsante Kotoko
- Nov 21, 2026Berekum ChelseavsYoung Apostles
- Nov 21, 2026KarelavsBasake Holy Stars
- Nov 21, 2026MedeamavsAshanti Gold
- Nov 21, 2026Bibiani Gold StarsvsSwedru All Blacks
- Nov 21, 2026VisionvsDebibi United
- Nov 21, 2026Port CityvsHeart of Lions