AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, Lárnaka (Larnaca)
The Footlab AI model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 78%, against 15% for a draw and 7% for Karmiotissa. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa?
AEK Larnaca is a heavy favourite: 2,049 Elo points against 1,737, a 312-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AEK Larnaca
4-2-3-1- 11R. Bajić
- 14A. Layouni
- 7Gus Ledes
- 20J. Repas
- 9Đ. Ivanović
- 6I. Pankov
- 15H. Miličević
- 3M. van der Hoorn
- 17K. Pileas
- 23S. Köhler
- 92A. Paleari
Karmiotissa
4-3-2-1- 9Patrick Luan
- 21P. Psychas
- 8Curtis Yebli
- 20Marios Kokkinoftas
- 77P. Tachtsidis
- 7M. Bajunovic
- 4S. Dembélé
- 6C. Wheeler
- 33Julio Cesar
- 22Rubén García
- 1Nikolaos Giannakopoulos
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AEK Larnaca have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Karmiotissa have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Aris(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 AEK Larnaca wins, 0 draws, 0 Karmiotissa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Karmiotissa 0-3 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Nov 25, 2024 | AEK Larnaca 2-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Jan 26, 2024 | Karmiotissa 1-3 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Oct 21, 2023 | AEK Larnaca 5-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Karmiotissa 1-3 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Oct 30, 2022 | AEK Larnaca 4-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Karmiotissa vs AEK Larnaca on Feb 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
AEK Larnaca score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Karmiotissa score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Larnaca | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Karmiotissa | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AEK Larnaca sit 4th in 1. Division (9 points from 4 matches) and Karmiotissa sit 12th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AEK Larnaca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 12 | Karmiotissa | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
A question about AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa?
- The Footlab AI model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 78%, against 15% for a draw and 7% for Karmiotissa.
- Where and when is AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa played?
- AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.