AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, Lárnaka (Larnaca)
The Footlab model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Karmiotissa. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa?
AEK Larnaca starts as the favourite with a 286-point Elo edge (2,011 vs 1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AEK Larnaca have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Karmiotissa have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | PAEEK(away) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | ASIL Lysi(away) | 6-2 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | MEAP Nisou(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Ayia Napa(home) | 3-0 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 AEK Larnaca win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Karmiotissa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Karmiotissa 0-3 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Nov 25, 2024 | AEK Larnaca 2-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Jan 26, 2024 | Karmiotissa 1-3 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Oct 21, 2023 | AEK Larnaca 5-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Karmiotissa 1-3 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Oct 30, 2022 | AEK Larnaca 4-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Karmiotissa vs AEK Larnaca on Feb 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
AEK Larnaca score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Karmiotissa score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Larnaca | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Karmiotissa | 2.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 62 | 33 | 69 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa?
- The Footlab model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Karmiotissa.
- Where and when is AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa played?
- AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.