Apoel Nicosia vs Aris: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Neo GSP, Levkosía
The Footlab AI model makes Apoel Nicosia the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Aris. The most likely score is 1-1. If Apoel Nicosia wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Apoel Nicosia vs Aris?
On Elo ratings, Apoel Nicosia has 1,888 points and Aris 1,914.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Apoel Nicosia vs Aris
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Apoel Nicosia
4-1-4-1- 15F. Pedrozo
- 8Dálcio
- 18D. Limnios
- 9A. Bakasetas
- 72A. Barák
- 10Marquinhos
- 34K. Laifis
- 3K. Stafylidis
- 25Joan Sastre
- 16Álvaro Carrillo
- 27V. Belec
Aris
4-2-3-1- 11R. Effaghe
- 70C. El Allachi
- 8C. Charalampous
- 22V. Nikolić
- 6A. Opoku
- 29D. Gaustad
- 17M. Matysik
- 20S. Yago
- 24G. Kalulu
- 7Anderson Correia
- 91M. Zadro
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 01:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Apoel Nicosia have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Aris have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Halkanoras(home) | 5-2 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(home) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Anorthosis(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 25, 2026 | AEL(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 18, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Ethnikos Achna(home) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Olympiakos(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Apoel Nicosia wins, 0 draws, 2 Aris wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Aris 1-0 Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia 2-1 Aris | 1. Division |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Aris 1-2 Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Apoel Nicosia 2-0 Aris | 1. Division |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Apoel Nicosia 2-1 Aris | 1. Division |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Aris 1-0 Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Apoel Nicosia score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Aris score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apoel Nicosia | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Aris | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Apoel Nicosia sit 6th in 1. Division (14 points from 8 matches) and Aris sit 4th (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aris | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 15 |
| 6 | Apoel Nicosia | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 14 |
A question about Apoel Nicosia vs Aris?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Apoel Nicosia vs Aris?
- The Footlab AI model makes Apoel Nicosia the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Aris.
- Where and when is Apoel Nicosia vs Aris played?
- Apoel Nicosia vs Aris is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Neo GSP, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.